Alcohol use and hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis

OBJECTIVES: Insights into risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (ALD cirrhosis) are important for decisions about HCC surveillance. We studied the effects of continued hazardous alcohol use in ALD cirrhosis on HCC risk.

METHODS: Within a nationwide registry-based cohort of patients with ALD cirrhosis, we compared HCC risk between patients with a continued hazardous alcohol use and matched comparators. We used Fine-Gray regression to compare the risk of HCC and Cox regression to compare all-cause mortality. We also included patients with ALD cirrhosis in a clinical case-control study. Cases had HCC, and controls did not. Alcohol use was quantified using the AUDIT-C-questionnaire. Logistic regression was used to analyze the association between hazardous alcohol use and HCC risk.

RESULTS: In the registry-based study, we included 8,616 patients with continued hazardous alcohol use and 8,616 matched comparators. Patients with a continued hazardous alcohol use had a lower HCC risk (subdistribution hazard ratio: 0.64, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.57 - 0.72) and higher mortality (hazard ratio: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.56 - 1.67). In the clinical study, we included 146 patients with ALD cirrhosis of whom 53 had newly diagnosed HCC. Hazardous alcohol use was insignificantly associated with a lower HCC risk (odds ratio: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.25 - 1.46).

CONCLUSIONS: Hazardous alcohol use in patients with ALD cirrhosis is associated with higher mortality and, consequently, a lower HCC risk. Even if alcohol is carcinogenic, HCC surveillance will therefore likely be more effective in patients with ALD cirrhosis without a hazardous alcohol use.